Looking for Meaning in German Carpet Bombing Patterns

Looking for Meaning in German Carpet Bombing Patterns

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(1) Video Library > 3. How the Mind Works: Biases in Human Reasoning

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Introduction

  • Introduction

1. Cognitive Biases and Human Reasoning

  • Overview of the Course

2. What is a Cognitive Bias?

  • What is a Cognitive Bias?
  • "Biased" Does Not Mean "Prejudiced" or "Bigoted"
  • An Example: The Gambler's Fallacy
  • The Most Important Discovery of Modern Psychology

3. Cognitive Biases and Their Importance For Critical Thinking

  • A Central Aim of Critical Thinking
  • "Mindware": Tools For Smart Thinking

4. Why Are So Many Industries Offering Cognitive Bias Training?

  • Why is Everyone Talking About Cognitive Biases?
  • Reason 1: Avoiding Disasters
  • Reason 2: Improving Performance
  • Reason 3: Promoting Social Justice
  • All of This is Just Applied Critical Thinking

5. A Gentle Introduction to Cognitive Biases

  • There are HUNDREDS of Cognitive Biases
  • We'll Look at FOUR in Detail

6. Confirmation Bias

  • What is Confirmation Bias?
  • Biased Memory and the Lunar Effect
  • Biased Search for Information (I): Interviews and Framing Effects
  • Biased Search for Information (II): How Questions Can Manipulate Memory
  • Biased Interpretation of Information: Mulder, Scully, and Giant Alien Spiders

Interlude: Early Podcast Episodes on Cognitive Biases

  • Introduction
  • Confirmation Bias and the Evolution of Reason

7. Pattern Seeking

  • We're Very Good at Seeing Patterns ... Maybe Too Good
  • We See Faces Everywhere. Why?
  • Cognitive Biases and Adaptive Shortcuts
  • Stairway to Heaven, Britney Spears and Backmasking
  • Looking for Meaning in German Carpet Bombing Patterns

8. The Anchoring Effect

  • What is the Anchoring Effect?
  • How Much is This Jacket Really Worth?
  • The Basic Shortcut: “Anchor and Adjust”
  • Irrelevant Anchors: Judges Literally Roll Dice on Damages
  • How to Use Anchoring to Manipulate Public Opinion

9. Hindsight Bias

  • What is Hindsight Bias?
  • How Hindsight Bias is Demonstrated
  • Hindsight Bias, 9-11 and Earthquake Prediction

10. Introduction to Debiasing Strategies

  • Debiasing Strategies: Overview
  • What is Debiasing?
  • Debiasing the Decision-Maker
  • Debiasing the Environment (or “How to Make You Stop Littering”)

11. Why Businesses Often Resist Debiasing

  • Five Reasons Why Businesses May Resist Debiasing
  • We have a BLIND SPOT When it Comes to Our Own Biases

12. Debiasing Strategies That Work

  • The General Problem: Narrow Thinking
  • Consider the Opposite
  • Make People Accountable
  • Pre-Mortem Analysis
  • The Value of Checklists
  • The Benefits and Risks of Group Decision-Making
  • The Debiasing Effects of Diversity
  • How to Get the Most Out of Brainstorming